Service Plays Wednesday 05/06/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Cavaliers (-11-1/2) Tuesday night.

Today it's the Brewers. The surplus is 790 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

May 6, 2009

Hondo treaded water with his Twosday Special yesterday, hitting in the soiree with the Brewers to offset the matinee Bird bath in St. Pete.

Tonight, with the earnings holding at 365 oylers, Mr. Aitch will join forces with G-Men from Detroit and Arizona -- 10 units apiece on Galarraga and Garland.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin Bonus Play

(901) ATLANTA BRAVES
(902) FLORIDA MARLINS
Take "(901) ATLANTA BRAVES"

The Braves are not in good form, but Derek Lowe should get them in the win column tonight against the Marlins. Florida is starting lefty Graham Taylor, and he's just not ready for the majors at this point. In just 8.2 IP, Taylor has issued nine BB's and has only 3 K's. That's a killer ratio that eventually has to to see him get crushed. Atlanta has a good chance to break out against Taylor, so I would lay the number here with Lowe and the Braves.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist Bonus Play

(907) CHICAGO CUBS
(908) HOUSTON ASTROS
Take "(907) CHICAGO CUBS"

The Cubs are getting healthy, on a nice win streak, with Soriano, Bradley, Lee and Ramirez anchoring the lineup. Ace Rich Harden has been throwing smoke, fanning 35 in just 21 innings, allowing just 15 hits. Last place Houston doesn't have much offense, ranked 14th in the NL in runs scored. Veteran Mike Hampton has cooled off after a good start, at winless his last three starts with a 6.48 ERA. Back the hot team, play the Cubbies!

 

[DonWallace]

Don Wallace Sports

[ Bonus Play ] Boston -4 over Orlando

 

[number1fan]

Maddux Sports

Basketball
#713 - NBA - 3 units on Houston +9.5

 

[number1fan]

Maddux Sports

Baseball
#906 - MLB - 3 units on Cincinnati -105
#907 - MLB - 3 units on Chicago Cubs -145
#911 - MLB - 3 units on San Francisco +129
#921 - MLB - 3 units on Tampa Bay +157
#924 - MLB - 3 units on Chicago White Sox -110
#926 - MLB - 3 units on Kansas City -121

 

[backdoorcover1]

PowerPlayWins

St. Louis Cardinals -136

 

[jnc750]

Burns
9* Lakers
6* rockies
6* over in the Celtics game

 

[TheIronHorse]

<table align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="96%"><tbody><tr><td> DailyPowerRatings</td> <td align="right" valign="top" width="32%"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td class="freepickwhite" width="68%">
</td> <td rowspan="4" align="right" valign="top" width="32%">

</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="freepickwhite1">Wednesday, May 6th</td> </tr> <tr> <td> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> 5* Star - 6+ Run Differential (Highest-Rated 3 Unit Play)
4* Star - 5 Run Differential (2 Unit Play)
3* Star - 4 Run Differential (1 Unit Play)
2* Star - 2 to 3 Run Differential (Slight Edge)
1* Star - 0 to 1 Run Differential (No Play Recommended) </td> </tr> <tr> <td> </td> <td align="right" valign="top" width="32%"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2"> <table style="border: 1px solid rgb(0, 0, 0);" align="center" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="99%"> <tbody><tr> <td class="whitetext4" align="center" bgcolor="#000000" valign="top" width="26%" height="30">Team
(Game*)</td> <td class="whitetext4" align="center" bgcolor="#000000" valign="top" width="23%">Game Rating
(Point Differential)</td> <td class="whitetext4" align="center" bgcolor="#000000" valign="top" width="10%">Vegas
Line </td> <td class="whitetext4" align="center" bgcolor="#000000" valign="top" width="9%">Our
Line</td> <td class="whitetext4" align="center" bgcolor="#000000" valign="top" width="8%">Power
Rating</td> <td class="whitetext4" align="center" bgcolor="#000000" valign="top" width="8%">Starting Pitcher</td> <td class="whitetext4" align="center" bgcolor="#000000" valign="top" width="9%">Home/
Away</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="brdbotright" bgcolor="#ffffff" height="28"> (907) Chicago Cubs</td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#dc0100">3* Star </td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">-150</td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">2</td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">2</td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">0</td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">0</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="brdbotright" bgcolor="#ffffff" height="28"> (908) Houston</td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">
</td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">140</td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">6</td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">4</td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">2</td> <td class="brdbotright" align="center" bgcolor="#ffffff">0</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="7" class="brdbot" bgcolor="#e6e6e6" height="6"> </td> </tr> </tbody></table></td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" align="left"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" class="freepickwhite1">Today's Play:</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">3* Chicago Cubs (-150) 1 Unit Play</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2"> </td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[bobygaleana]

John Fina (Winning Ways Sports) Free Pick

Pittsburgh Pirates +125

Also has a NBA GOM anyone?

 

[jnc750]

Anthony Redd

Wednesday's Card
10 Dime Magic



10 Dime Lakers (1st Half)



10 Dime Lakers

 

[SteveMcQueen]

Raging Bull

Barcelona +160

Lakers -9.5

 

[FalconPhan]

IC

Minnesota Twins 4 Units

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI

Eastern Conference Semifinals
Game 3, best-of-7
Boston vs. CAROLINA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
PITTSBURGH 4, Washington 3

Eastern Conference Semifinals
Game 2, best-of-7
BOSTON 97, Orlando 94
Western Conference Semifinals
Game 2, best-of-7
L.A. LAKERS 102, Houston 97

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Benjamin lee Eckstein

Ben lee lost again (2 in a row) on Tuesday with the A's -$140/Angles.

For Wednesday "Mr Chalk" likes the Paders -$180/Diamondbacks.

"Mr Chalk is 0-2 -$290 for the week and 16-12 -$320 for the year.
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Big Al

Our 2 selections include the White Sox and the 'over' in the KC/Seattle game.
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Malinsky

4* #907 CUBS over HOUSTON

Some of the best concepts in sports betting come up rather infrequently, which means that we must take advantage when there are there. And the case of backing an “A” level performer off of a bad game comes to the front with Rich Harden here. Bad games are rare for pitchers of his caliber, but that is what happened vs. Florida on Friday, when he had some control problems in the fourth inning. Now we get a chance to play him in a rebound setting and note just how special he has been – in his Major League career he has worked to a 12-2/2.00 tune in 121.1 innings following a game in which he gave up four runs or more. That makes this one particularly strong, because it sets up well all the way around.
We cashed an easy 4* against the Cubs yesterday when Lou Piniella gave Alfonso Soriano, Aramis Ramirez, Ryan Theriot and Milton Bradley the day off, while Carlos Marmol and Scott Gregg were both unavailable in the bullpen. But now that all changes. The rested players come back fresh for this one, creating a strong right-handed lineup to play into Mike Hampton, and the bullpen brings major edges for the latter stages against a worn-out Houston corps.
Hampton got off to a decent start in his return from injury but we do not see the stuff to maintain a high level – he has already fallen off to an 0-1/6.48 over his last three outings, and the 5.1 innings per start that he is averaging is about all the stamina that he has. That makes this a particularly difficult night for Cecil Cooper to get through nine innings, with his starters failing to go past the fifth inning in the last five games, and the bullpen struggling to a 5.63 tune in that span. Those pen issues are exacerbated by the DL absences of Jose Valverde and Doug Brocail, and Geoff Geary because of yesterday’s work load. Without many hard throwers around, an Astro defense that rates #25 on our best chart so far this season gets further exposed, providing the Cubs with ample opportunities to break this one open.

5* #914 SAN DIEGO/ARIZONA Under

Last night we turned a 6* Under in Petco in a game that brought much
more value than it should have because both of the starting pitchers
were undervalued off of some misleading early-season statistics.
Tonight we increase the * Rating again, as a pair of struggling
offenses once again find themselves having to scratch for anything
that they can get.

Jake Peavy only sports a 2-3/4.58 for this work so far this season,
but there are no issues anywhere ? his arm is alive (40 strikeouts
vs. 35 hits allowed), and his last outing might have been the best
game pitched in the Major Leagues so far in 2009 ? holding the
Dodgers scoreless, on two hits with eight strikeouts, over an eight
inning sint is not an easy thing to do right now. Now he returns to
his home mound for the first time since an ugly loss to the Pirates
two starts back, and note just what kind of competitor he has been in
these settings ? over the past 4+ seasons he has worked to a
10-5/1.90 tune over 20 starts in his next home game after a home
defeat. Arizona can not do much to get in his way. The Diamondbacks
are averaging an abysmal 2.0 runs per game on the road, and an
offense is last in the N.L. in batting average, 15th in runs, tied
for 14th in walks and 14th in strikeouts matches up poorly.

Meanwhile Jon Garland is who he is, a guy that pitches to contact,
but will not walk a lot of batters. And while that brings a lack of
sex appeal overall, that is an awfully effective way to pitch at this
venue. His 2-1/4.94 opening to the season is clouded by one bad
inning against St. Louis, and note that in his other four starts he
worked into the 7th inning each time. He is the prototype of the kind
of pitcher that can use Petco to his advantage, and a San Diego
lineup that will have five position players beginning the evening at
.239 or less plays well into his hands.



4* #926 KANSAS CITY over SEATTLE

Sometimes the standings can be our best friends. In what can be
billed as showdown between two teams currently in first place we
believe that one is for real and one is an imposter, and tonight?s
short line gives us the ability to go into a starting pitcher
currently on one of the worst 12-month runs in Major League history.
Yes, that last statement is a strong one, but it is true.

Seattle is 15-12 right now but there is not all that much to like ?
the Mariners have had good work at the top of their rotation from
Felix Hernandez, Erik Bedard and Jerrod Washburn, but when those guys
are not on the hill this is a weak offense with an inconsistent
bullpen. And that is not much of a package to support Carlos Silva,
with the Silva run now at a frightening 2-17/7.75 since May 1st of
LY. You will be hard-pressed to ever find a pitcher that has fared
worse over a 12-month measurement. There just is nothing left in his
tank, but he has been buoyed by surprisingly good support from a weak
offense, which has meant only two losses tagged to through five
starts him despite a 7.36 ERA. The 5.4 per game of offense he has
been blessed with is not going to hold up.

Meanwhile Sidney Ponson also brings awful overall numbers, but take a
closer look ? in three home starts against the Yankees, Indians and
Tigers he worked solidly each time, but could not win because of a
lack of run support. When on his game he can throw strikes and get
ground balls, and note that he only walked one batter over 12.1
innings of his last two starts, and has had a positive ground ball to
fly ball ratio in four of five outings. He is better than the
pitching forms will show in their bottom lines, and as such we get a
lot of value behind him as those base numbers correct. With the
Royals playing with tremendous confidence as a team, and with Joakim
Soria fresh to handle the latter stages, there is excellent value to
this one.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Lance's Lock


Overall record: 777-672-29

Current streak: 2 wins

Todays play: Lakers -9'
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